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Nino
03-19-2007, 08:01 AM
This should clear some of the confusion (sarcasm)

The Macie Report
By Roger Macie

Format / IT Wars 2006

I receive many calls inquiring about where I think the industry is going, and what camera/format I see pulling ahead in the “Format Wars”. Which one finally settles as the “standard” (if any), is still anyone’s guess, but what I can do, is give a breakdown of trends that we see in our shop from year to year, then you can come to any conclusions (confusions?) of your own.

Back in 2004 our clients were purchasing camcorders that were used as “interim formats” to hold them over until the video production and acquisition community decided what the next format would be. Sony’s XDCAM blue laser optical disk, and Panasonic’s P2 solid state memory camcorders were about to be released. Ikegami already had its Avid Camcutter SD version out for years. But with the HD revolution on the horizon, most of our clients would rather hold out with any big investment that could have such a questionable return. The most purchased formats back then were DVCAM and DVCPRO SD model field cameras. That was a good investment for that time period.

We are able to show the purchasing trend with our client base of over 2300, by the number of new camera set-ups we perform. To see a complete explanation of why so many new cameras come here for a setup, see my newsletter entitled “Format Wars 2005” . The following is a breakdown of percentage increases/decreases we’ve seen in 2006, compared to the previous year.

In 2005 we saw a 26% decrease in new set-ups, but in 2006 we experienced a 125% increase, 20% in SD models and 580% increase in HD camcorders. Panasonic accounted for 90% of new camcorders - up from 47% in 2005. Their most popular models are the AJ-HDX900 and the AJ-HDC27 Varicam for HD, and the AJ-SDX900 for SD, all of which are tape based. The “HDX900” has become a leader because of its low price (about half of a varicam) and it’s a 1080i and 720p switchable camera. The IT based models (non tape) accounted for 10% of new cameras, with the Sony XDCAM-HD (PDW-350L) being the most popular. While IT based gear may be in the future, the industry has yet to adopt its work flow, and the manufacturers don’t seem to have the desired HD versions available yet.

Toward the end of the year we definitely saw that our clients were buying more HD camcorders than SD. That sign shows that High-Definition is close at hand. Locally in Boston, I see that our local TV stations are soon to be airing local news in HD. When that happens, the networks cannot be far behind.

As far as used camcorder purchases go, determined by our “Pre-purchase Check-ups”, the number stayed the same as the previous year.

Tape –based camera maintenance: BetacamSP increased slightly because of our 10 percent increase in overall workflow, but as a percentage it decreased from 52% to 48%. DVCAM, DVCPRO, and Digibeta models grew in volume.

So, I guess that clears everything up for you, right !!??

As another year closes, I’d like to express my deepest gratitude to each and every one of our loyal clients for trusting us with the care and maintenance of your gear. I must also thank our techs, Dan, Daniel, Mike, Ray, Paul, and our office manager Paula. I am humbled by their dedication, and quality work.

Take care,

Roger


For a complete list of previous newsletters, click here. Or go to our homepage: http://www.macievideo.com/

freedom
03-19-2007, 10:07 AM
It does validate what I've been seeing/hearing from many clients. The HDX900 is the hot camera RIGHT NOW. How long will that last?

I'm giving serious consideration to buying the HDX but only if I'm confident that I can make it all back within 2 years, tops. Then I could sell the camera and move on from there.

Southern DP
03-19-2007, 10:47 AM
You may want to wait until after NAB. I have heard that Panasonic is coming out with their new version of the HDX which will bring the SDX into it as well. From what I understand this "new" camera will shoot both HD and SD (switchable). It will do what both cameras currently do now all rolled into one. Correct me if I'm hearing wrong.

freedom
03-19-2007, 12:27 PM
Interesting, the news I heard is full sized P2 card HD cameras.
Panasonic alegedly is looking at, I think it's called AVC. A new compression scheme that will double the compression and make the P2 card capable of holding twice the footage. At this point AVC can't be edited but that isn't stopping them! I hope I got the codec right, CRS.

Douglas
03-19-2007, 01:03 PM
From what I've read, AVC is strictly a consumer format and does not look good at all. Never seen it myself, but that's what I've read.

Doug

Canonman
03-19-2007, 04:38 PM
Panasonic alegedly is looking at, I think it's called AVC. A new compression scheme that will double the compression and make the P2 card capable of holding twice the footage. At this point AVC can't be edited but that isn't stopping them! I hope I got the codec right, CRS.

There are two flavors...AVC-I which is an intra frame codec with higher compression than DVCPROHD. This is where Panasonic is going to squeeze more data onto a P2 card to boost recording time.

Then, there is AVCHD, the consumer format that Douglas mentioned which runs at about 12mbs data rate.

And Freedom, you're correct about editing AVC-I. For real-time editing of this format, you'd need the equivalent of 30 Pentium 4 processors running at 3ghz or better.

cm

Skipcam
03-19-2007, 10:06 PM
Kudos to Roger (and Nino) for keeping us up to date and sharing info that we all find extremely interesting, and helpful! He doesn't have to do that and it is appreciated!

powervideo
03-19-2007, 10:22 PM
For real-time editing of this format, you'd need the equivalent of 30 Pentium 4 processors running at 3ghz or better.cm

That sounds a bit OTT. 30 P4 processors puts you into the research enterprise super-server arena. I've heard that the current range quad-core Xeons can handle this compression format in RT. Maybe multi-layer RT playback will be a complication, but it is with most HD formats without hardware assist.

Peter

SimonW
03-20-2007, 07:33 AM
Anyone know if Roger is going to be covering NAB this year? His 2005 reports were really interesting, but he didn't do it last year.